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There is still a worry about the imbalance between supply and demand. There is limited room for alumina futures to continue to fall. Since the intraday record of 5,540 yuan/ton on December 5, the main contract price of domestic alumina futures has started to fluctuate and fall, reaching a minimum of 5,077 yuan/ton on December 12, with the cumulative maximum decline exceeding 8%. According to industry insiders, the increase of alumina registered delivery brands and the sharp drop in overseas alumina spot quotations have led to the recent decline in alumina futures prices. Although the short-term news in the market is intertwined, the imbalance between supply and demand in the alumina market has not fundamentally improved, so there is limited room for the subsequent decline of alumina futures prices. (CSI)Doing a good job of macro-policy "combination boxing" to promote the sustained economic recovery. After the the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee Conference released a strong signal that the policy of steady growth will be significantly increased in 2025, the Central Economic Work Conference held on December 11-12 further refined the "task book" for macro-policy implementation. Experts said that the implementation of fiscal and monetary policies will be significantly enhanced in 2025. For example, improve the fiscal deficit ratio, continue to implement the vigorous RRR cut and interest rate cut, and so on. At the same time, under the requirements of "system integration and coordination", policies and reform and opening-up measures in finance, currency, employment and other aspects will pay more attention to coordination, lay a good "combination boxing", give better play to policy effectiveness, and strive to promote sustained economic recovery. (CSI)Venezuela: This week, 103 people arrested after the July elections were released.

The President of Belarus approved the national defense plan for 2026-2030. According to the website of the President of Belarus on the 12th, President Lukashenko approved the national defense plan for 2026-2030 at the meeting of the Belarusian Security Council that day. Lukashenko pointed out at the meeting that in recent years, the military and political situation around Belarus has deteriorated, individual countries have escalated the situation around Belarus, and European countries' destructive remarks against Belarus have also increased. He stressed that the Belarusian army poses no threat to any country, is a tool to prevent war, and will repel the enemy when the country is invaded.The exchange rate of the Canadian dollar against the US dollar fell to the lowest level since April 2020. As the US dollar strengthened for the fifth consecutive day, the Canadian dollar fell below 1.42 Canadian dollars against the US dollar for the first time since April 2020. According to informed officials, Canada is studying that if US President-elect Donald Trump fulfills his threat to impose extensive tariffs, Canada will impose export taxes on its main exports to the United States.Financial institutions are in full swing, and a new round of "staking the land" is just around the corner. Recently, five departments jointly issued the Notice on the Full Implementation of the Personal Pension System. China securities journal reporter learned that when the personal pension system is fully rolled out, banks, insurance and other financial institutions with exhibition qualifications are already in full swing to prepare for the upgrading and optimization of personal pension business, and a new round of bank account opening, deposit and agency sales is about to start, and the product reserves of various financial institutions will also reach a new level. (CSI)

Daiwa Securities SMBC Co., Ltd. downgraded Xinao Energy to Hold with a target price of HK$ 56.Apple is about to switch to self-developed Bluetooth and Wi-Fi chips for iPhone and smart home. Apple plans to switch to domestic chips for Bluetooth and Wi-Fi connection on its devices from next year, which will gradually phase out some components currently provided by Broadcom. This chip, code-named Proxima, has been developed for several years and is now planned to be used in the first batch of iPhone and smart home devices produced in 2025. The internal chips of iPhone manufacturers will be produced by TSMC.The US dollar index rose on the 12th. The US dollar index, which measures the US dollar against six major currencies, rose by 0.23% that day and closed at 106.957 in the foreign exchange market. As of the end of the new york foreign exchange market, 1 euro was exchanged for 1.0473 US dollars, lower than 1.0492 US dollars in the previous trading day; One pound was exchanged for $1.2670, down from $1.2745 in the previous trading day. One dollar was exchanged for 152.54 yen, down from 152.65 yen in the previous trading day; One dollar was exchanged for 0.8914 Swiss francs, higher than 0.8848 Swiss francs in the previous trading day; 1 dollar to 1.4208 Canadian dollars, higher than 1.4162 Canadian dollars in the previous trading day; One dollar was exchanged for SEK 11.0106, higher than SEK 10.9791 in the previous trading day.